VK TECHNALYSIS SERVICES (VK 技术分析服务): Volume confirms the market action

Saturday, November 28, 2009

Volume confirms the market action

Volume is extremely important. For a trend to continue, volume must increase. This represents added interest and additional buying which is required for a trend to propel itself to a new highs. If a rally continues on lower volume, the trend cannot sustain itself and will fail. Let’s take a look at the rallies we had in 2007 to 2008 as an example. Notice how the rallies were made on lower volume which I classified it as a weak bull. Let's look at each phase
Phase 1 - "Smart money" accumulation and market consolidation.
Phase 2 - Media promotion, investors and retailers started to buy. "Smart Money" continue to buy. Price and Volume increase.
Phase 3 - More investors and retailers are buying, "Smart Money" are selling. Price increase but volume started to drop.
Phase 4 - More "Smart Money" exiting, price started to drop and volume started to drop as there is no inflow of new capitals. The retailers either got trapped or cut loss.

Please refer to the KLCI weekly chart for your reference

Click to enlarge

Stock Market Language 股市语言

In the stock market everyone hope to "Buy Low Sell High". In practical, it is very difficult to achieve. There are 5% of the investors are able to achieve that however they are not buying at the lowest or selling at the highest. In other word they buy at the RIGHT timing and sell at the RIGHT timing.
每个人都希望在股市“低买高卖”。但实际上是非常困难的。只有5％的投资者能够实现，但是他们不是在最低买进或在最高卖出。换句话说，他们是在适当的时机买进和卖出。

Human nature is full of Greed and Fear. The emotion of human was reflected on the movement of the stocks' prices.
股票的价格变动中反映出人性的贪婪和恐惧。

What should we do while waiting for the market to correct?

No stock to buy very boring right? While you are waiting for the market to correct, you can actually sharpen yourself and get more funds ready for the next run.

1. You can subscript Winchart to sharpen your skill. VK Technalysis Services provides training twice a month in North Malaysia. Other regions please refer to http://www.straitsindex.com/.

2. EPF contributors have an option to withdraw EPF funds to invest on stocks from account No. 1 to standby and get ready for the next run.

For details, please contact VK Technalysis Services
Penang: 012-4168868 (Vincent Liew)
Kedah and Perlis: 012-4259118 (JK)
B'worth, Kulim and BM : 012-4212533 (Wong)

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