Thursday, February 4, 2010

Technical Commentary 04/02/10

After rebounded for 2 days, the selling activities on FBMKLCI restarted again. KLCI was staying in the negative zone for most of the trading sessions and closed at 1265.03 (-2.12, -0.17%). KLCI30 will fall in the consolidation phase if it not able to break out 1267 in near term. The possible trading ranges for KLCI likely between 1267 to 1255 levels. KLCI nearest resistance level now is 1267 and the next resistance level is 1272. The support level is still remains as 1255. The market’s volume further decreased by 28.3% traded with 620.7 MIL shares today. The volume is far below the 40 days VMA now. This means that the investors are getting more caution and started to stay away from the market. There are 216 up counters and 446 down counters.

FBMKLCI Indicators
Bollinger band had contracted to 0% with the candlestick still stay below BBMB, indicates KLCI is consolidate with bearish biased.

RSI stay at 34.57 levels indicates KLCI30 still bearish biased.

STC %K and %D stay at 21.54 and 19.28 respectively, indicates KLCI30 still bearish.

The MACD line dipped below ZERO but the histogram seems to form a rounding bottom soon. If it successful to form a rounding bottom, then KLCI will has a chance to rebound.

All the indicators above remain bearish biased for FBMKLCI. Please refer to the picture of FBMKLCI daily chart for your reference.

The mid-term view of KLCI’s bullish trend still intact unless the support level 1250 is broken. However all the indicators like MACD, STC and RSI are bearish biased. If the index can stay above the BBMB in near term, KLCI will escape from the bear trend. Otherwise the outlook of KLCI will become bear trend for mid-term.









Counters for those who can monitor online and have a cut loss policy only

1. Affin - continue to monitor, buy above 2.66 or higher for mid term holding
2. CSCSTEL - Hold if you had bought
3. AIC - Hold if you had bought
4. Kenanga - Watch for T+4 profit taking, might run again after correction
5. Liihen - Under value counter. T+3, T+2 and T+1, watch for T+4 profit taking, might run again after correction.
6. KPJ - moving up but resisted at 2.35 and BBMB, watch for break out BBMB.
7. Latitud - Under value counter. T+3, T+2 and T+1, watch for T+4 profit taking. Might run again after correction.
8. Hiro - Under value counter. Watch for break out around 0.92
9. Magna - watch for retest 1.05